What's the Point (FiveThirtyEight Podcast) Theme - SoundCloud So, the usual. The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. The crew discusses the arguments Biden laid out and where he stands with American voters two years into his presidency. Release date: 24 June 2015 Show more But some Republicans are still jockeying for position to be the next leader of the party, the most prominent of which may be Florida Governor Ron DeSantis. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes. In this installment of Model Talk on the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke are joined by two climate modelers and authors of the latest IPCC report, Friederike Otto and Baylor Fox-Kemper. Democrat and former state Rep. Mary Peltola won Alaska's special congressional election on Wednesday, defeating Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich III. Americans' political views oftentimes don't align neatly with a single party, but instead draw on both conservative and liberal positions. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. Tucker Carlson Has Exclusive Access To Jan. 6th Security Tapes : The No products in the cart. They also ask whether we should be skeptical of polls showing Democrats performing well in parts of the Midwest where polls have repeatedly underestimated Republicans. The team debates if Americans really do move to Canada, or to different U.S. states, for political reasons. Politics Podcast: Why The Federal Reserve's Power Is 'Limitless' The crew plays an Independence Day-inspired statistics game and discusses how the most recent Jan. 6 hearing could affect how Americans view former President Donald Trump. They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. But that doesnt stop us from talking about what we do know: that Republicans didnt make major gains in the Senate, and that the polls were pretty good this cycle. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. Joining the podcast are Andra Gillespie, political science professor at Emory University, Besheer Mohamed, senior researcher at Pew Research Center, and Stacey Holman, the director of PBSs recent documentary series The Black Church.". [00:00:19] This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. In the 2020 election cycle, Georgia found itself at the center of the American political universe. In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). It helps our wrinkle, which helps other discover the shop or just tell them on about this series, we'll be . Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. The crew looks back at what Americans thought about some of the biggest political and cultural issues of 2021. Nate and Galen open the mailbag and answer listeners' questions about politics, polling and anything else on their minds. How COVID-19 Affected Tuesday's Vote l FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. The crew discusses how Bidens approval rating may impact the midterm election, whether tracking Google search terms over time is a better barometer than traditional polling, and how Black voters are changing the political landscape of Georgia. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. The first half of this episode originally aired on November 5, 2018, and was produced by Dan Pashman, Anne Saini, and Aviva DeKornfeld, with editing by Gianna Palmer and mixing by Dan Dzula. The crew discusses Congress's recent slew of legislation and whether that trend will continue with the new "Inflation Reduction Act." Then Nathaniel Rakich and Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux join to discuss how abortion has played a role in elections this year and when we should know the results of next months midterms. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The crew discusses the races to watch in Tuesday night's primaries in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Idaho, Oregon and Kentucky. FiveThirtyEight's Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich discuss the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on Tuesday night's primary elections.Website: http:. Each week, host Jody Avirgan brings you stories and interviews about how data is changing our lives. And lastly, they check-in on the gubernatorial recall efforts in California that are very likely to result in a recall election for Governor Gavin Newsom. Last week, we began to explore the most high-profile of those mayoral contests -- the New York City Democratic primary. 04:58 PM. Transcript of What The White House | Happy Scribe Listen to FiveThirtyEight Politics on Spotify. OPEC+ announced its cutting oil production by 2 million barrels a day, President Biden is talking about the threat of nuclear Armageddon and shoes keep dropping in the Georgia Senate race. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. FiveThirtyEight On The Road - Splash r/fivethirtyeight. The crew also looks at changes the Democratic Party is hoping to make to the 2024 presidential primary calendar. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. The crew discusses Manchins rationale and where Democrats might go from here. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. We continue our conversation about challenges to democracy in America by talking with Georgia Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger. They also discuss the accuracy of opinion polling conducted in authoritarian Russia and war-torn Ukraine. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 The crew looks at how the Johnson & Johnson vaccine pause shaped public opinion of that vaccine and willingness to be vaccinated more broadly. The crew looks at what Americans think about aid to Ukraine one year on, how the public may respond to Sen. John Fetterman's treatment for clinical depression and former President Trump's legal liability in a Fulton County investigation. The crew discusses what the political environment is likely to look like in 2022 based on history and current indicators. Missed Deliveries for February 2023 | by Podcast Delivery | Podcast 2,. Legal scholar Kate Shaw also digs into some of the specifics of the terms major cases, particularly on election law. Local news is disappearing across the country. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. They also debate whether a poll asking Americans to choose what they think is the best decade of their lives is a good or bad use of polling. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. No place like 'Nam. The crew discusses the races to watch in 2023. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew discusses the best way to poll Americans satisfaction with their own lives and the direction of the country. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. NEW TOWN . Politics Podcast: Could Nikki Haley Actually Win The GOP Nomination? Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what he's learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Saturday, February 25, 2023. They also consider whether abortion as an issue will motivate voters in other elections this fall and look at the primary winners in Arizona, Missouri, Michigan and Washington. heritage commons university of utah. Institutions are the rules of the game of our societies that direct our everyday lives in fundamental ways. The Lowe Post Show - PodCenter - ESPN Radio Later, Monica Potts joins to discuss why voters sometimes contradict their partisan beliefs on ballot measures. The crew discusses the value of a bipartisan strategy, the motivations behind it and the likelihood of Congress reaching a compromise. Almost a year after the 2020 Democratic National Convention, the crew looks back at the record number of Democrats who ran for president in 2020 and assesses where they are now. Galen Druke speaks with Equis Research co-founder Carlos Odio about whether that trend continued in the 2022 midterms and what it all means for 2024. Most recently, he ran and hosted 30 for 30 Podcasts, part of ESPN Films. The crew hosts its first-ever 2024 Republican primary draft (they plan to follow up next week with a 2024 Democratic primary draft). They also continue to track the types of candidates former President Trump has endorsed in the 2022 Republican primaries. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. Feb. 25, 2021. info. The crew discuss the 2021 gubernatorial elections in Virginia and New Jersey and the very likely recall election in California. 'Coldest Case' review: Serial's podcast revisits a 1985 murder in He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. Sign up to get unlimited songs and podcasts with occasional ads. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. Mental Health AI & Data Science Politics News Business Investing English United States 365 episodes since Nov. 1, 2018 episodic IN THIS PODCAST FiveThirtyEight Politics The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. Since Jacksons confirmation is the expected outcome, the hearings similar to past ones were more about politics. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? Republican Mayra Flores won the special election in Texass 34th congressional district on Tuesday, avoiding a runoff and flipping the longtime Democratic seat in Texass Rio Grande Valley. Biden Is Set To Be The Next President | FiveThirtyEight Politics From host Jody Avirgan (30 for 30, FiveThirtyEight, Radiotopia) and the TED Audio Collective, Good Sport is your guide through an array of stadiums, pitches, pools and slopes that shed a light on the ups and downs of being human. Galen speaks with Atlanta Journal Constitution reporters Tia Mitchell and Greg Bluestein about how the Georgia senate runoff is looking in the final stretch. Transcript: Ezra Klein Interviews Ta-Nehisi Coates and Nikole Hannah You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the news events and polling that have contributed to that change. The question is whether Mississippis law banning most abortions after 15 weeks of pregnancy is constitutional. Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. Good Sport on Apple Podcasts Together they describe why the war has not turned out as originally expected, what the risks of escalation are today and how the conflict might come to an end. We hear about the decade-long relationship between the two of them, one that dates back to the Kennedys arrival in Washington in the mid-50s, and hear fascinating observations these women make about each other. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. In 2021, cities around the country are choosing mayors to try to lead them through a long list of challenges, both pre-existing and brought on by the COVID-19 pandemic. A lack of those relationships can actually have an impact on political behavior and interest in extreme ideologies. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." They also look at the politics of two hot button issues in the Senate and speak with Carlos Odio of Equis Research about how Latino voters are viewing the two parties in 2022. My theme song for the "What's the Point" podcast from FiveThirtyEight, a podcast about our data age. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts FT Podcasts | Financial Times FiveThirtyEight Politics - Listen to All Episodes | News - TuneIn The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Edit your transcribed text. 02:13:21 - Heartland POD on Twitter - @TheHeartlandPOD Co-HostsAdam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85 Rachel Parker @RaichetP Sean Diller @SeanDillerCO https://heartlandp FiveThirtyEight Politics (podcast) - FiveThirtyEight, 538, ABC News They play a game of "Guess What Americans Think," in which the panelists have to guess Americans' opinions on a wide variety of topics, including Elon Musk, inflation and Britney Spears. The posting for the podcast's freelance audio editor position can be found here. In this installment, we put that primary in context by looking more broadly at the relationship between urban centers and the Democratic Party. FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast | Free Listening on Podbean App FiveThirtyEight Politics https://feeds.megaphone.fm/ESP8794877317 Follow Share 13.5k Followers 200 Episodes Category: Politics Last Update: 2023-02-21 Claim Ownership The idea of the celebrity politician isnt going away just because former President Trump is out of office. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. They also rank the Senate races that will be most important in determining which party controls the Senate next year. And what does Florida's new voting law tell us about the GOP's efforts to change the way Americans vote, and the party's larger motivations? Americans Like Bidens Student Debt Forgiveness Plan. Five Thirty-Eight sometimes referred to as 538, focuses on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Smialek argues that over the past century, through successive crises, the Fed has accumulated the power to choose winners and losers across American markets and society on the whole. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. The crew discusses the role partisanship has played in Americans' assessment of risk and their behavior during the pandemic. Today, we wanted to share the first episode of the ABC News podcast series, "In Plain Sight: Lady Bird Johnson," which uncovers the former first lady's surprisingly powerful role in the Johnson presidency and includes history-making revelations about Lyndon B. Johnsons time in office. They also debate whether phone or online polling is a better tool for gauging Americans' views on sensitive topics like the death penalty, and they preview a forthcoming report on how FiveThirtyEight's forecast models did in 2020. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." 01:00 PM. Will Democrats Rally Behind President Biden In 2024? david senak now. Crime analyst Jeff Asher discussed what those numbers can -- and can't -- tell us, and explains the challenges in collecting crime data. The crew talks about the threat of a government shutdown and debt default, as well as how likely it is that Democrats get their legislative priorities passed. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. Thirty-six governors seats are up for election this fall and the crew looks at some where full control of state government might be decided by the governors race. According to a new poll from the Wall Street Journal, Hispanic voters are now split evenly between the Democratic and Republican parties, just one year after 60 percent voted for Democratic House candidates. They also discuss the trend of amateur candidates running in and winning House primary elections, and ask whether Biden's dismissal of the polls is a "good or bad use of polling.".