Earl Campbell 9. 1 receiver for a significant chunk of the season. The role we envisioned for Johnson is already in question. That, plus the uncertainty of Edmond's role, leaves me more concerned than excited. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. 24 Overrated RBs. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. While Jacobs is capable of a bell-cow role, McDaniels has a long history of maddening running back usage as the Patriots OC. He's playing for his fifth team in seven seasons and has never been an instinctive runner. Jameis Winston is a downfield passer, and Hill would rather run than check down. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. His ADP has been climbing recently, and while his price says drafters are aware of the easy schedule down the stretch, he's still being overvalued at his current price. Ty Johnson has strong athleticism and played over Carter in the first week of the preseason, and La'Mical Perine has a similar profile to Carter. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. D'Andre Swift, Detroit | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB14. Here are the NFL running backs with the most career touchdown runs over 50 yards (based on stats through 2016). 5. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. They did not pick up his fifth-year option and took Zamir White in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. Before his 2020 campaign, McKissic had never rushed for more than 205 yards in a season. Although the rookie saw an uptick in usage throughout his first season, he managed to eclipse 66% of his teams snaps just once. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Even if Winston wins the competition and keeps the New Orleans passing game afloat, Kamara will have a hard time repeating last year's 21 total touchdowns. That's right, Fournette was cut by the Jaguars, and I think the same could happen with Gordon entering this season. He showed elite promise in his rookie year and followed it up with a top 10 season despite a high ankle sprain limiting his ascension. It's not entirely his fault. Murray scored 11 rushing touchdowns in 9 different games in 2020. Leave him there for the next guy to take him. Investing in Sanders as your RB2 is likely to leave you feeling disappointed. He also spent his first 5 years on the saints, where he got 20 carries exactly 2 times there. Unfortunately, the odds are stacked against Kamara repeating as the best player in fantasy football. Its easy and lazy to make comparisons to "Todd Gurley under Sean McVay," but that hope is pushing him into a tier of running backs that he does not belong. Raheem Mostert, San Francisco | Consensus Rankings RB31 | Consensus Projections RB35. Even if he isn't named the Saints' starting quarterback, Hill's continued presence in the red zone and at the goal-line infringes on Kamara's touchdown opportunity. It seems the case that he is being drafted well above his upside. The new coaching staff is inexperienced (second-youngest in the NFL), the system is unproven, the quarterback is going to gobble up a ton of rushing yards and touchdowns, and the front office has added running back depth aggressively in the offseason. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. Myles Gaskin, Miami | Consensus Rankings RB25 | Consensus Projections RB26. In five games without Mark Ingram II in 2020, Dobbins only out-carried Gus Edwards 13 to 11.6. Jason Wood: Sanders is talented, and when healthy, was productive under former head coach Doug Pederson. The Top Ten. Gibsons problems with fumbles have been a complaint of Ron Rivera, and he has already shown it is not gone in the preseason. Gaskin is an easy fade at his current price. The 2021 season will either change from the norm of what we have seen from Edmonds in the past or a new role where he flourishes with an increase in volume. The Commanders made it a priority of theirs to bring back J.D. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Christian McCaffery and Nick Chubb, running backs. The fact is, he never . Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. There's zero appeal here. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. by | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers | Jul 2, 2022 | beaches near airports florida | legends untold sewers Chad Parsons: McKissic is priced reasonably with an implied drop in targets. Its almost always the other way around for top tier RBs. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. Gordon's arrow is pointing down for 2021, and he could be marginalized as the season goes on because the team also likes free agent signing Mike Boone. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. That role may not disappear completely, but the addition of Gio Bernard is a bad sign for Tampa Bay's intentions with Fournette. Here are some stats from footballoutsiders.com: * Note: ADY = adjusted line yards, PSR = power success rank, SR = stuff ranking Average ADY: 4.29 Average PSR: 11th Average SR: 9th * These stats werent kept until 1996, so this doesnt include Bettis first 3 years in the NFL. Worst of all, he is now playing on the Houston Texans, who have no identity on offense heading into the season. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB16 | Consensus Projections RB17. Swift also picked up bad footwork habits working alongside a different style of back in Adrian Peterson last year, opting for inefficient jump cuts that hurt his game. Eric Dickerson 8. Ryan Hester: This isnt a knock on Harris, whose athletic profile and projected workload are things fantasy players dream of. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. Robinsons workload will dramatically decrease this season, and drafters arent taking that into account as much as they should. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . Gordon was adequate last year, but that was almost purely on volume. O.J. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. Also, Jalen Hurts is poised to siphon a few short-range scores from the running back position. I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. Yep. Jamal Lewis 18. Chad Parsons: Travis Etienne and Carlos Hyde were chosen additions by the new Jaguars regime with either Round 1 pedigree (Etienne) or a productive NFL profile (Hyde). But Gordon averaged more yards per carry last year than Williams. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. . I'm out. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. Along with McKissic, Gibson will have to contend with Brian Robinson Jr, a rookie from Alabama. However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. The Raiders declined to exercise Jacobs fifth-year option this offseason, drafted Zamir White in the fourth round, signed Ameer Abdullah and Brandon Bolden, and Kenyan Drake returns from injury. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. That is not the stat line of an elite RB at all. In 2020, James Conner ranked 36th and Benny Snell ranked 54th in expected yards-per-carry out of 55 qualifiers, a sign of a weak offensive line and scheme. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Wait until next year. McKissic returns from injury to his role as the pass-catching back, and Washington also drafted Brian Robinson Jr in the third round. Jeff Haseley: The Dolphins have a three-headed approach to the running back position this year. If you're optimistic about the Lions running game, take Williams at a deep discount from Swift's highly aspirational price tag. Simpson 13. Terrell Davis, Edgerrin James, Reggie Bush, Rashard Mendenhall, Jamaal Charles, and recently, Dalvin Cook all took over a season of play to return to form if they did at all. There isnt much to like here. Drew Davenport: Gordon hasn't been a special player for a while now, and at times last year looked completely ineffective. In 2019, the Lions tried to steal him away with a restricted free agent offer. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Preseason may help a little. But drafting him as a high-upside No. But just like Logan Thomas, McKissic benefitted from a perfect storm of low average depth of target throws from the quarterbacks last year and the lack of receivers outside of Terry McLaurin. McDaniels is someone who deploys multiple backs throughout the course of the game. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. J.K. Dobbins, Baltimore | Consensus Rankings RB18 | Consensus Projections RB19. Scoring at least once in 9 games (16 gms total) yields a 56% chance of a score in each game. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. This three-headed committee with a healthy Jones is bad news for Fournette and means he is way overvalued at current ADP. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. In college, he played wide receiver as much as (if not more than) running back. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Phil Alexander: What makes people so confident the Dolphins backfield is not a committee? Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. Drafting running backs on the downside of their career, on bad offenses, in a platoon situation, is fraught with peril. And ultimately, he was targeted by Miami ahead of an early-round draft pick when he finally hit unrestricted free agency. Ryan Hester: Even before he played double-digit snaps in the most meaningless of all meaningless preseason games, Jacobs was a solid fade. So what's the concern? Henry has never caught more than 19 passes in a season, and that limited production as a receiver is an issue. David Montgomery looked the part of a workhorse profile after Cohen left the lineup, and Khalil Herbert is a rookie to watch for upward mobility on the depth chart. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. 54 touchdowns. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. That makes me want to be high on Josh Jacobs, but unfortunately, all reports point to a backfield by committee. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. There are too many risk factors to comfortably draft Ekeler as a No. At 5-foot-6 and 191 pounds, Cohen is too small and one-dimensional to be used as a lead back even if David Montgomery gets hurt. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. This is exactly what the Steelers tried to do by selecting Najee Harris in the first round in the NFL Draft. Etienne's selection early in the late first signals he should have an immediate opportunity, especially with a new coaching staff in place. Single Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc.
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